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Higher Gold Prices

Planets Aligned for Major Move in Gold

By Greg McCoach
Monday, September 10th, 2007

In 2002 a very rare event occurred: Five of the planets in our solar system aligned themselves in a straight line.

In late April of that year, Jupiter, Mercury, Venus, Mars and Saturn lined up in a five-planet array that wouldn’t be repeated for a century.

The setup provided a planet-watching opportunity of absolute wonder.

Oddly enough, this event occurred just as gold was starting on the bull run that we have witnessed for the past five years. See chart below:

chart

While the past five years has been a great time of profits for the few investors who followed gold and the mining stocks, they were nothing compared to what is about to happen.

I expect the red line on the chart above to move in an almost vertical manner over the coming months. I wouldn’t be surprised to see gold move up $100 an ounce in a single trading day, an event that the modern world has never witnessed.

The fundamental reasons for this I have expounded on these pages and others for years.

Recent events, however, have led me to the conclusion that the time for a major upward move in gold has finally arrived.

Earlier in the year I wrote an article stating that gold had broken a key benchmark, when the yellow metal hit its highest monthly average price in history. In February 2007, gold crossed its all-time monthly average high, which had been $666.75 an ounce, to reach $669.35. That record had been in place since 1980, when gold briefly traded over $800 an ounce.

More importantly, gold has confirmed this new trend in five of the last seven months! The average monthly high for gold in those five months was as follows:

April 2007 monthly average gold price $681.37.

May 2007 monthly average gold price $668.86.

July 2007 monthly average gold price $667.30.

August 2007 monthly average gold price $686.03.

And so far in September we are averaging over $686 and looking to make a move into new territory.

These monthly average charts are sending a clear message. I am surprised more people are not talking about this.

Another factor that spurred me to write this article was the news I witnessed today (Friday, September 7) in the markets.

For the first time in a quite a while, gold, the HUI and XAU were diverging from the general stock markets. The Dow was down almost 250 points, while gold and the shares were having a stellar day. This divergence I believe is also sending a very clear message that something in the Land of Oz is not right.

Upon further investigation of the news we see Fed statements regurgitating more of the standard double talk. What the Fed is really saying between the lines is this:

All the funny money we recently injected into the system and the lowering of the discount rate to help financial institutions that are in major trouble IS NOT WORKING! We will need to cut rates!

The dollar index, which is already teetering below the critical level of 80, now looks like it could move to a new historic low. How low, no one knows, but the dollar is in serious trouble.

Cutting interest rates in an astonishingly stupid move by the Fed to protect the real-estate and stock markets will blow the dollar out of the water. In the end it won’t help real estate or stocks either. I see both the real-estate and general stock markets correcting to much lower levels in the coming year, regardless of what nonsense the Fed tries. But try they will.

What I see is that investors worldwide will start running to protect themselves from one failing fiat currency to another. They won’t understand what to do to protect their savings. Because of their improper understanding of what money is, they will move with increasing rapidity from one paper currency to another. As each one fails, they will eventually find out what true wealth really is.

This activity will resemble the childhood game of musical chairs. I don’t know how long it will last, but one thing is for sure: When the music stops, gold will be the only sound currency left. Just as it always has been.




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Comments:

Comment by calvino on 2007-09-12
All the central bankers of the world will stand around and watch their power collapse so that someone with as little imagination as a goldbug can get rich. Try again! Gold is a useless metal, and the biggest fiat in the world. Currencies might get pegged, but it won't be to gold.
Comment by Lee Carlson on 2007-09-12
Regarding the housing market,( keep in mind I have been a Realtor for 25+ years ),..I doubt that interst rate cuts will affect the market at all. The real problem is all the speculation by investors and the sub-prime loan mess. plus the huge inventory of unsold R.E. In addition, the economy in general is a total mess. The dollar is dropping like crazy and investors know this and no one seems to be talking much about it except that they perceive it as a problem.
My reaction is that housing will take care of itself in a year or 2 because the low value of the dollar is starting to make our real estate look like a bargain to investors in other countrys.
Regarding Gold, I still can't see Gold as anything but another way to speculate ! You can't take gold to a grocery and buy bread and you can't even take a bar of gold and slip it into a bank vault, ( Re assay's come in to make sure you didn't drill out the gold bar and fill the hole with lead ). You can wear it as jewelry of buy coins, (The best way to buy it ), but any way you buy it, you pay retail and sell for wholesale ! So, the only other option is to speculate that gold stocks/funds, will go up, but how far before they too drop ?
The only truly workable solution for gold to have real value is for the Treasury to mint pure gold coins, like the Romans did a couple thousand years ago, as an exchange medium. Any other way of dealing with gold is pure speculation.
Comment by Lloyd Anning on 2007-09-12
It makes me question how much of the rise in the price of gold since 2002 is due to the decline in value of the US dollar, especially to mines outside the US.
In my mind, oil pricing is subject to the same situation since the price is also based on US dollars.
You will notice the coincidence that now oil prices are near their peak, OPEC increases their supply.